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This is a blog about Covid-19 from a mathematical angle.
Updated daily | Trendgraphs, UK variant comparison |
Updated hourly | LondonTraffic |
5 Jan 2022 | Estimating Generation Time Of Omicron - Evidence of a much shorter generation time for Omicron compared with Delta |
2 Jan 2022 | Growth/shrinkage of Omicron and Delta in regions of England |
2 Dec 2021 | Early Omicron Growth Estimate |
16 Nov 2021 | Population estimation using vaccine survey - A third way to estimate population in the UK (unfinished) |
Jan-July 2021 | Vaccine effect |
30 May 2021 | Measuring growth in the UK in Variant of Concern B.1.617.2 / Delta (first found in India) |
8 May 2021 | Measuring vaccine efficacy against variants |
15 March 2021 | Estimate for the false positive rate / specificity of lateral flow device tests as used in UK schools |
6 December 2020 | Discussion of optimal suppression strategies |
23 September 2020 | Critique of a YouTube presentation by Ivor Cummins |
19 May 2020 | Note on Gomes et al, "Individual variation in susceptibility or exposure to SARS-CoV-2 lowers the herd immunity threshold" |