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This is a blog about Covid-19 from a mathematical angle.
Updated daily
Trendgraphs
,
CasesByAge
,
UK variant comparison
Updated hourly
LondonTraffic
5 Jan 2022
Estimating Generation Time Of Omicron
- Evidence of a much shorter generation time for Omicron compared with Delta
2 Jan 2022
Growth/shrinkage of Omicron and Delta in regions of England
2 Dec 2021
Early Omicron Growth Estimate
16 Nov 2021
Population estimation using vaccine survey
- A third way to estimate population in the UK (unfinished)
Jan-July 2021
Vaccine effect
30 May 2021
Measuring growth in the UK in Variant of Concern B.1.617.2 / Delta (first found in India)
8 May 2021
Measuring vaccine efficacy against variants
15 March 2021
Estimate for the false positive rate / specificity of lateral flow device tests as used in UK schools
6 December 2020
Discussion of optimal suppression strategies
23 September 2020
Critique of a YouTube presentation by Ivor Cummins
19 May 2020
Note on Gomes et al, "Individual variation in susceptibility or exposure to SARS-CoV-2 lowers the herd immunity threshold"
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