Difference between revisions of "OmicronGrowth"

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Estimates of growth of Omicron (based on case counts and SGTF data).
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Discussion here: https://twitter.com/alexselby1770/status/1472989741150879750
 
Discussion here: https://twitter.com/alexselby1770/status/1472989741150879750
  
 
Method adapted from Alpha->Delta transition model here [[Growth_in_Variant_of_Concern]].
 
Method adapted from Alpha->Delta transition model here [[Growth_in_Variant_of_Concern]].
  
Code: [[https://github.com/alex1770/Covid-19/blob/master/VOCgrowth/vocfit.py]].
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Code: https://github.com/alex1770/Covid-19/blob/master/VOCgrowth/vocfit.py.
  
Some purely case graphs (not distinguishing variants) by age available here: [[CasesByAge]].
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See also here for pure case graphs by age (not distinguishing variants): [[CasesByAge]].
  
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/fit_combinedgrowths.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/fit_combinedgrowths.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/fit_combinedgrowths.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/fit_combinedgrowths.small.png">]
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/fit_combinedgrowthadvs.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/fit_combinedgrowthadvs.small.png">]
  
  

Latest revision as of 05:00, 1 January 2022

Estimates of growth of Omicron (based on case counts and SGTF data).

Discussion here: https://twitter.com/alexselby1770/status/1472989741150879750

Method adapted from Alpha->Delta transition model here Growth_in_Variant_of_Concern.

Code: https://github.com/alex1770/Covid-19/blob/master/VOCgrowth/vocfit.py.

See also here for pure case graphs by age (not distinguishing variants): CasesByAge.