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Estimates of growth of Omicron (based on case counts and SGTF data).
Discussion here: https://twitter.com/alexselby1770/status/1472989741150879750
Method adapted from Alpha->Delta transition model here [[Growth_in_Variant_of_Concern]].
Code: https://github.com/alex1770/Covid-19/blob/master/VOCgrowth/vocfit.py.
See also here for pure case graphs by age (not distinguishing variants): [[CasesByAge]].
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/fit_combinedgrowths.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/fit_combinedgrowths.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/fit_combinedgrowthadvs.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/fit_combinedgrowthadvs.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/growthbyregion.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/growthbyregion.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/growthbyregion.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/growthbyregion.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/doublingtimebyregion.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/doublingtimebyregion.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/doublingtimebyregion.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/vocgrowth/fit.omicron/doublingtimebyregion.small.png">]

Latest revision as of 06:00, 1 January 2022

Estimates of growth of Omicron (based on case counts and SGTF data).

Discussion here: https://twitter.com/alexselby1770/status/1472989741150879750

Method adapted from Alpha->Delta transition model here Growth_in_Variant_of_Concern.

Code: https://github.com/alex1770/Covid-19/blob/master/VOCgrowth/vocfit.py.

See also here for pure case graphs by age (not distinguishing variants): CasesByAge.