Difference between revisions of "Early Omicron Growth Estimate"
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| + | = Description = | ||
| + | |||
| + | Estimation of growth rate of Omicron and Delta in South Africa by decomposing case counts from 1 October into two exponentials, making a periodic adjustment for the day of the week. | ||
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| + | Program used: [https://github.com/alex1770/Covid-19/blob/master/VOCgrowth/EarlyOmicronEstimate/twoexpestimate.py twoexpestimate.py] | ||
| + | |||
| + | See also: https://twitter.com/alexselby1770/status/1466494211537215492 | ||
| + | |||
| + | = South Africa = | ||
| + | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases_adj.small.png">] | ||
| + | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases.small.png">] | ||
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| + | = Provinces = | ||
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases_adj.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases_adj.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases_adj.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases_adj.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases_adj.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases_adj.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases_adj.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases_adj.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases_adj.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases_adj.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases_adj.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases_adj.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases_adj.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases_adj.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases_adj.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases_adj.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases_adj.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases_adj.small.png">] | ||
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases.small.png">] | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases.small.png">] | ||
| − | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/ | + | |
| + | |||
| + | = Comparison over provinces = | ||
| + | [http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/SA_Rt_ratio.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/SA_Rt_ratio.small.png">] | ||
Latest revision as of 12:59, 2 December 2021
Description
Estimation of growth rate of Omicron and Delta in South Africa by decomposing case counts from 1 October into two exponentials, making a periodic adjustment for the day of the week.
Program used: twoexpestimate.py
See also: https://twitter.com/alexselby1770/status/1466494211537215492
South Africa
Provinces
Comparison over provinces
