Difference between revisions of "Early Omicron Growth Estimate"

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= Description =
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Estimation of growth rate of Omicron and Delta in South Africa by decomposing case counts from 1 October into two exponentials, making a periodic adjustment for the day of the week.
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Program used: [https://github.com/alex1770/Covid-19/blob/master/VOCgrowth/EarlyOmicronEstimate/twoexpestimate.py twoexpestimate.py]
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See also: https://twitter.com/alexselby1770/status/1466494211537215492
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= South Africa =
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases_adj.small.png">]
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases.small.png">]
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= Provinces =
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases_adj.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases_adj.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases_adj.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases_adj.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases_adj.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases_adj.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Free_State_cases.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases_adj.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases_adj.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases_adj.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Gauteng_cases.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases_adj.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases_adj.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases_adj.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/KwaZulu-Natal_cases.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases_adj.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases_adj.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases_adj.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Limpopo_cases.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases_adj.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases_adj.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases_adj.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Mpumalanga_cases.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases_adj.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases_adj.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases_adj.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Northern_Cape_cases.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases_adj.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases_adj.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases_adj.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases.small.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/SA_Rt_ratio.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/SA_Rt_ratio.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/SA_Rt_ratio.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/SA_Rt_ratio.small.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases_adj.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases_adj.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases_adj.small.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases_adj.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases_adj.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases_adj.small.small.png">]
 
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases.small.png">]
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases.small.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases.small.small.png">]
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= Comparison over provinces =
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/SA_Rt_ratio.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/SA_Rt_ratio.small.png">]

Latest revision as of 13:59, 2 December 2021

Description

Estimation of growth rate of Omicron and Delta in South Africa by decomposing case counts from 1 October into two exponentials, making a periodic adjustment for the day of the week.

Program used: twoexpestimate.py

See also: https://twitter.com/alexselby1770/status/1466494211537215492

South Africa

Provinces


Comparison over provinces