Early Omicron Growth Estimate: Difference between revisions

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= Description =
Estimation of growth rate of Omicron and Delta in South Africa by decomposing case counts from 1 October into two exponentials, making a periodic adjustment for the day of the week.
Program used: [https://github.com/alex1770/Covid-19/blob/master/VOCgrowth/EarlyOmicronEstimate/twoexpestimate.py twoexpestimate.py]
See also: https://twitter.com/alexselby1770/status/1466494211537215492
= South Africa =
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases.small.png">]
= Provinces =
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Eastern_Cape_cases.small.png">]
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[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/North_West_cases.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/South_Africa_cases.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases_adj.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases_adj.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/Western_Cape_cases.small.png">]




 
= Comparison over provinces =
 
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/SA_Rt_ratio.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/SA_Rt_ratio.small.png">]
[http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/SA_Rt_ratio.png <img src="http://sonorouschocolate.com/covid19/extdata/EarlyOmicronEstimates/SA_Rt_ratio.small.png">]

Latest revision as of 13:59, 2 December 2021

Description

Estimation of growth rate of Omicron and Delta in South Africa by decomposing case counts from 1 October into two exponentials, making a periodic adjustment for the day of the week.

Program used: twoexpestimate.py

See also: https://twitter.com/alexselby1770/status/1466494211537215492

South Africa

Provinces


Comparison over provinces